Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.200972 0.228761 0.258583 0.292919 0.331310 0.372862 0.421188
2025-11-23 0.161392 0.197998 0.239918 0.291300 0.352395 0.422520 0.508899
2025-11-30 0.137459 0.179899 0.231279 0.297680 0.380793 0.480927 0.610192
2025-12-07 0.116705 0.161969 0.219586 0.297646 0.399883 0.528380 0.701124
2025-12-14 0.100588 0.147308 0.209554 0.297551 0.417561 0.574142 0.792262
2025-12-21 0.087960 0.135377 0.201257 0.298074 0.435023 0.619796 0.885457
2025-12-28 0.078922 0.127152 0.196784 0.302784 0.457737 0.673159 0.991716
2026-01-04 0.072152 0.121286 0.194782 0.310331 0.484379 0.732989 1.110025
2026-01-11 0.065163 0.114131 0.189924 0.312820 0.503274 0.782367 1.215794
2026-01-18 0.059951 0.109121 0.187685 0.318770 0.527302 0.840118 1.336523
2026-01-25 0.055914 0.105532 0.187212 0.327176 0.555302 0.904973 1.470972
2026-02-01 0.050569 0.099039 0.181287 0.326070 0.567868 0.946569 1.571768
2026-02-08 0.045648 0.092879 0.175559 0.325156 0.581248 0.991163 1.681445
2026-02-15 0.041203 0.087055 0.169812 0.323625 0.593337 1.034228 1.790980
2026-02-22 0.038529 0.084261 0.169140 0.330779 0.620419 1.102909 1.945313
2026-03-01 0.035165 0.079697 0.164754 0.330820 0.635028 1.151576 2.069119
2026-03-08 0.032155 0.075472 0.160561 0.330759 0.649257 1.200125 2.194932
2026-03-15 0.029539 0.071742 0.156930 0.331358 0.664535 1.251042 2.327044
2026-03-22 0.027673 0.069395 0.155783 0.336552 0.688449 1.318051 2.489948
2026-03-29 0.026277 0.067921 0.156241 0.344861 0.718602 1.397476 2.678170
2026-04-05 0.024474 0.065291 0.154037 0.347602 0.738195 1.458761 2.836894
2026-04-12 0.023156 0.063638 0.153734 0.354147 0.765465 1.535232 3.026246
2026-04-19 0.022154 0.062628 0.154716 0.363390 0.798526 1.623876 3.241571